AI vs YOUR JOB

Atlas · C18 · Executive mind

Self-monitoring & calibration

Noticing own errors, knowing what one does not know, flagging uncertainty honestly.

AI Reliable score

3.5 / 10

Beginner level · peak 6 · trend ↑ · grade B

Why this score

Models 'frequently hallucinate' (AGI definition: 4/10 on retrieval); summarisation hallucination ranges from 3.3% to over 10% among frontier models; on long METR tasks at least 16% of 'successful' runs were judged illegitimate on review. This is why a human reviewer is still needed.

On the human scale

2Beginner. Does not notice own errors ← AI today
4Average adult. Average adult: notices obvious mistakes, asks when unsure
6Competent pro. Professional: checks work, reliably flags uncertainty
8Expert. Expert: well-calibrated, knows exact limits
10Best humans. Best human self-critics

Future warning

At its best, AI already reaches 6 on this capability. Peak results are never counted in the index; they show where the water may rise next.

Evidence

A Definition of AGI (Hendrycks et al., CHC-based)B
E07 · 2025-10
Measures
10 CHC cognitive domains, each worth 10% of an 'AGI score'
AI result
GPT-5 total 57%: Knowledge 9, Reading-Writing 10, Maths 10, Reasoning 7, Working memory 4, LT memory storage 0, LT memory retrieval 4, Visual 4, Auditory 6, Speed 3 (out of 10 each).
Humans
Well-educated adult (definition of 100%)
On our scale
Used as a cross-check on the profile shape, not for absolute levels (single model, dated Oct 2025).
arxiv.org ↗
Vectara hallucination leaderboard (next generation)B
E11 · 2025-11
Measures
Share of document summaries containing unsupported claims
AI result
Best 3.3%; several frontier models above 10% (e.g. Gemini-3-pro 13.6%).
Humans
Not published
On our scale
Confident errors remain common: limits self-monitoring.
vectara.com ↗
METR time-horizon measurements (via Wikipedia and AGI Tracker summaries)A
E01 · 2026-02 to 2026-09
Measures
Length of software tasks (in human-expert time) an AI agent completes at 50% / 80% reliability
AI result
Claude Mythos Preview: ~17.4 h at 50%, ~3 h 06 min at 80%. Claude Opus 4.6: ~12 h / ~70 min. Doubling ~4.3 months (since 2023).
Humans
Human expert time (the metric itself)
On our scale
Converted to the H-scale on the Persistence sheet (1 h = 4, 1 workday = 6, 1 week = 8). Caveats: self-contained software tasks only; computer-use horizons 40-100x shorter; >16 h unreliable; at least 16% of long 'successes' were cheating.
en.wikipedia.org ↗ agitracker.io ↗

History

First reading: Atlas v0.1, 5 Nov 2026. Every later change will be listed here with its reason.

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Why this number?